September 16, 2008 21:49 |
Fred Halliday
Nicolas Sarkozy's multinational and cross-cultural initiative looks
less impressive in light of the current flaws and failings of European
governance and leadership.
"They
only went to Paris because they wanted to meet his wife". An
Arab diplomat friend with an inexorable grasp of the realities of
international relations is a vital source of wisdom in separating
glitter from gold. The reference in this case was the summit organised
by Nicolas Sarkozy in the Grand Palais in Paris on 13 July 2008
which launched his favoured initiative, the Union for the Mediterranean
(UPM); though if the event made a dramatic opening to France's chairing
of the European Union's rotating six-month presidency, it is doubtful
that even the lustre of Carla Bruni could have made this more than
a one-day-headlines wonder.
For this is an event that demands deconstruction - not just in
its own terms, but in relation to the wider infirmity of the European
Union in mid-2008, as it faces problems of legitimacy, accountability,
identity and democracy that it seems incapable of addressing let
alone resolving.
A hollow promise
In real terms the French president's enterprise was never likely
to amount to much - and only in part because "Mediterranean"
is in EU-speak a euphemism for "the Arabs", and thus a
world away from the imaginative historical understanding of Fernand
Braudel's deep apprehension of a natural, political and economic
sphere in The Mediterranean and the Mediterranean World in the age
of Philip II . For the reality behind the exalted rhetoric is of
a deeper set of fractures and rivalries whose healing would require
political boldness and leadership, and understanding rooted in awareness
of the failures of the past in this area.
True, Israeli prime minister Ehud Olmert and Palestinian president
Mahmoud Abbas were photographed together, but they did not need
to go to Paris for that to happen; the king of Morocco absented
himself so that he could avoid sitting next to the president of
Algeria, with whom his country has been in conflict over Western
Sahara since 1975; Libya's Muammar Gaddafi also failed to arrive,
even though he had been lobbying for years for admission to the
negotiations encompassing European Union and Mediterranean states.
Syria's Bashar al-Assad arrived, but only to claw back a bit of
lost diplomatic ground; and he neither met Ehud Olmert nor permitted
group photograph of the summit participants. A great noise was made
about the fact that Syria finally "recognised" Lebanon
as a separate state, by agreeing to open an embassy in Beirut -
though this is both six decades too late and carries no guarantees
that Syria will also stop killing Lebanese politicians and journalists
and covertly dominating the politics of that country. The closer
to the realty the independent observer comes, the harder is it to
be persuaded by Sarkozy's summit rhetoric and the mirage of regional
unity (for an assessment of the tensions surrounding the event,
and how the French's president's manic style tended to occlude them,
see Patrice de Beer, "Nicolas Sarkozy, the frenetic leader",
28 July 2008).
An oceanic fix
The French president's convocation - whose revealingly proper title
is the "Barcelona process: union for the Mediterranean"
- falls into what British diplomats would call a "talking"
(as opposed to a "doing") event. In other circumstances
there might be no harm in that - but at present, a huge and indeterminate
jamboree is the last thing that Europe or the "Mediterranean"
countries (whoever they are) need. This, again, is only in part
because the EU already has a regular mechanism for dialogue with
the Arab states, Israel and Turkey: namely the original "Barcelona
process", launched in 1995 (see "The 'Barcelona process':
ten years on", 11 November 2005).
The regrettable reality is that in almost thirteen years of life
it has achieved little. Europe plays no significant role in any
of the inter-state and inter-ethnic conflicts of the Mediterranean
area - Palestine, Kurdistan, and Western Sahara, for example. The
exchange of prisoners and bodies between Israel and Hizbollah on
19 July 2008 was negotiated by a German diplomat, operating as the
envoy of his own country (see Amal Saad-Ghorayeb, "The Israeli-Hizbollah
prisoner deal", 14 July 2008); it was Germany which also attempted
to broker a deal between Abkhazia and Georgia over their long-running
dispute.
The one place Europe has had something of a role (albeit as a junior
ally of the United States), is in the Balkans: but the Balkan states
were not part of the Barcelona process and the EU has in recent
months been seriously divided over the issue of Kosovo independence.
That some of the Balkan states were invited to Paris shows ambition,
but in itself amounts to nothing.
The crisis of the Barcelona process was evident three years ago,
at the ten-year review conference of November 2005. The crisis in
Palestine apart, the other main goals - promoting trade and investment,
encouraging democratisation in north Africa - had come to nothing.
On most issues of the day, middle-eastern states take no heed of
what Europe says: the Israelis build their wall and settlements;
the Palestinians vote for Hamas; the Iranians pursue their nuclear
programme; the Turks repress the Kurds; the Saudis, Egyptians and
Tunisians crack down on even the mildest of liberal critics.
At the 2005 review conference Spain, which is in charge of this
process, thought it had agreement of all the heads of state to attend,
and had in particular found a formula on Palestine that satisfied
the Arab states. But, twenty-four hours before the meeting was to
start, an advance British government party flew in from Malta and
- on Tony Blair's instructions, and to the fury of the Spanish -
vetoed the Palestine text. The result was that Egypt's president
Hosni Mubarak, followed by nearly all the other Arab leaders, pulled
out. The European heads of state were all there, from Portugal to
the Baltic, but (apart from the Turks and Israelis) the "Mediterranean"
guests failed to appear.
The Union pour la Méditerranée venture, the brainchild
of Sarkozy's Europhobe adviser, Henri Guaino, promises to be little
different. When the French president first proposed it, he did not
mention the Barcelona process, the established EU framework for
dealing with this issue; he failed even to inform the Germans or
British about what was supposed to be an EU initiative. His own
foreign ministry was also kept in the dark. Now the summit has agreed
to set up a new EU institutional process, but there is as yet no
budget, nor agreement on where the headquarters of this new entity
will be: Spain insists that Barcelona is the suitable home, but
Malta, Tunisia, Morocco and Brussels itself are all in the running.
In the absence of any significant diplomatic or political conclusions,
the 13 July summit agreed to a meagre shopping-list of practical
items: some (such as ecological co-operation in the Mediterranean,
and increased vigilance in regard to illegal migration) are already
in operation while others (such as a "Mediterranean University")
are whatever the "Club Med" equivalent of a pink elephant
may be.
An Irish cocktail
In a broader context, the pomp of the Paris summit serves another,
unstated but self-evident, purpose: displacement. It distracts the
attention of the European and world publics away from the disastrous
situation in which the European Union, at the end of the first month
of the French presidency, finds itself. The immediate cause of this
crisis was the Irish vote, in the referendum of 12 June 2008, to
reject the revised EU constitution known as the Lisbon treaty (see
Joseph Curtin & Johnny Ryan, "The Lisbon treaty and the
Irish voter: democratic deficits", 13 June 2008).
It is relevant here to note that Ireland has been ambivalent with
regard to international obligations. It has played a distinguished
role on occasion as United Nations peacekeeper and/or promoter of
international understanding in ways that earn a place alongside
benign non-hegemonic powers such as Sweden, Norway, Finland, the
Netherlands and New Zealand. This role is personified by Irish diplomats
who have well served United Nations bodies, among them such luminaries
as Seán MacBride, Conor Cruise O'Brien, and Mary Robinson
(Frank Aiken, the international-minded foreign minister and parliamentary
representative of my home country, Louth, discharged his duties
in the same spirit). These people believed in Ireland as an exemplary
as well as independent power on the world stage - and were not afraid
of annoying the great states in the process.
At the same time, the Irish like other small nations also occasionally
yield to the temptation of using their autonomy within international
bodies for partisan ends (another case is the Greek Cypriot vote
against the Annan peace plan of 2004). Ireland has been a great
beneficiary of the European Union, above all in financial terms,
and has achieved the growth rates it has in part because of its
thirty-five years of EU membership since 1973.
Yet the foundations of this growth were always less than secure.
Peadar Kirby's brilliant book, The Celtic Tiger in Distress: Growth
with Inequality in Ireland (Palgrave, 2001) argued that the Irish
economy's expansion was always precarious as it relied on fluctuations
in the world economy that could easily turn to its disadvantage;
but that it also entailed increasing levels of social and income
inequality. It was that inequality, the exclusion of a significant
part of the Irish population from the benefits of the 1990s, that
played a major part in the "no" vote of 12 June.
A twin regress
Nicolas Sarkozy was obliged to visit Dublin on 21 July 2008 as
part of his attempt as chair of the European Union presidency to
try to find a fix for the Irish "no". In all probability
some constitutional solution will be found to allow the Lisbon treaty
to go forward. Even if it does not, the EU as an economic entity
and, often forgotten, as the first zone of peace that covers Europe
in its history, will continue. The problem is, however, that the
Irish vote is far from being the only obstacle that the EU faces.
The rejection of European integration is the fault not of the Irish,
but of the anterior, and un-renegotiable, rejections of the original
constitution by France itself and the Netherlands in 2005. Here
the damage was much more serious: the torpedoing of major constitutional
changes in Brussels and, with consequences yet to be fully discerned,
the antagonising of Turkey in the negotiation process. Electoral
narcissism on the western fringes of Europe may be deplorable, but
the real, historic and strategic, damage has been done on the other
end of the continent, in regard to Turkey. This development - one
to which the the US invasion of Iraq in 2003 and the Greek Cypriot's
rejection of the Annan plan for the reunification of the island
in 2004 have made their own contribution - constitutes the most
worrying threat to the long-term security of modern Europe.
Even more ominous, however, than these electoral and political
setbacks, are other aspects of the EU today, in particularly two
long-term trends that, if continued and allowed to lay down future
standards, will indeed finish off Europe as a civilised and democratic
union.
First, the rolling back of workers' rights and social protection:
rather than lamenting the Irish referendum vote, commentators would
be better advised to look at the vote of two days before - the decision
on 10 June by the ministers of employment and social affairs to
abandon the European norm of a forty-eight-hour week, one of the
major social achievements of the past century, and instead allow
a week of up to sixty (and in some cases sixty-five) hours. This
pernicious development was made possible only because of the advent
of rightwing leaders to power in France and Italy and their collusion
with the new influence within the EU of the former communist states,
countries where the excesses of free-market economics and labour
exploitation now prevail.
Second, the example being set by one of the founding members of
the union, Italy. This country is after the April 2008 election
once again governed by a Silvio Berlusconi-led coalition, and one
with an ideological colour even darker than its predecessors (see
Geoff Andrews, "Italy's hour of darkness", 17 April 2008);
for it contains leading members who celebrate Italy's fascist past,
it passes laws that hound immigrants and discriminate against Roma
(Italian as well as those with family origins in southeast Europe,
including Romania), it promotes grotesque forms of sexism and gender
discrimination in public discourse and the media, and it legislates
in favour of its own partisan interests (see Marco Brazzoduro, "Italy's
choice: risk from Roma vs Roma at risk", 24 June 2008).
The comedy of manners which surrounds Berlusconism cannot conceal
these sinister and deeply regressive trends in Italy. It is here,
to Rome - and to Paris and Brussels - that the bill for the crisis
of the European Union should be sent. The grandstanding about Ireland's
failure to assent to the Lisbon treaty, or initiatives to boost
the "Mediterranean" - a term that has long ceased to have
any political, economic, cultural or strategic meaning - are distractions
from this core concern.
A European tunnel
It is here, not in the rhetoric or limits of the Barcelona process
of the UPM, that the real failure of Europe in regard to the Arab
and "Mediterranean" worlds really lies. To focus on specific
negotiations, or conflict-related targets, may be mistaken and may,
indeed, understate what Europe can achieve. The whole Barcelona
process of the mid-1990s was modelled on what was thought to have
happened a few years earlier in regard to east-central Europe -
with the EU, and influential states such as Germany, helping to
encourage a transition to democracy and liberal markets in the former
communist east. However, the analogy between eastern Europe and
the Arab world was mistaken: communism collapsed in the Soviet Union
and in most allied states, because the ruling elites had lost the
will to govern: had, in effect, given up. The Arab elites of Algeria
or Egypt have far from given up.
In another way, however, there is indeed an analogy, one all too
rarely stated: the main contribution of the European Union to the
collapse of communism did not lie in particular policies, but in
the very fact of the EU's success, as a political and economic venture:
this, the force of example, of democracy and prosperity combined,
was what undermined and overwhelmed the communist world in the 1980s
(see "1968: the global legacy", 11 June 2008). It may
be in this regard that Europe can also, over a longer period, help
to promote change in north Africa and the middle east also.
But it can only do this if Europe continues to live up to its best
ideals, to set an example that other countries can seek to imitate.
It will not be done by slamming the door on Turkey, indulging in
anti-Muslim "civilisational" rhetoric, and persecuting
immigrants. The greatest failures of Europe in recent years can
be found in its failure to live up to its own ideals, in its indulgence
of much that is ugly in European history and public attitudes, and
in the jettisoning of major social gains of its past. It is time
to retrieve the gold, not indulge the glitter.
This article was first published by Fred Halliday under a Creative
Commons licence on OpenDemocracy
see also http://www.spectrezine.org/europe/Friedman.htm