March 25, 2008 10:42 | by Jan
Marijnissen and Karel Glastra van Loon
Men of steel
"One cannot simultaneously prevent and prepare for war."
Albert Einstein
Might he make an opening statement, in order to set out his position
clearly? Of course he may: who are we to refuse such a request from
Sir Michael Rose, retired British Army general, former commander-in-chief
of UNPROFOR in Bosnia, and outspoken critic of NATO's war in Kosovo.
We are sitting in a restaurant a stone's throw from Buckingham Palace
and we have just ordered lunch. The general began to speak, and
in the five minutes which followed he let go with a monologue which
we could in fact have reproduced word for word. He did not hesitate
for a moment, did not commit a single slip of the tongue, and he
never had to search for a word. Sir Michael Rose has thought long
and hard about Yugoslav wars and he does not want any misunderstanding
regarding the conclusions which he has drawn from this.
On the UN mission in Bosnia: 'Within the mandate given to us by
the United Nations, we were exceptionally successful. We kept 2.7
million people alive, we daily brought 2000 tons of food and fuel
allocated to us for this, and that during three-and-a-half years
of an often three-sided civil war. According to American figures
130,000 people lost their lives in Bosnia in 1992. In 1993, the
year that the UN peacekeeping troops were admitted, the toll fell
to 30,000 and in 1994 to 3,000. Because hostilities could be reduced,
progress was again being made in the political and diplomatic arenas,
as a result of which in 1994 weapons were for the first time silenced
and peace lay within reach. It is no secret that the Americans then
prolonged the conflict by advising the Bosnian government not to
sign the peace agreement.'
On the Dayton accord: 'This agreement was not brought about by
the NATO bombings of Serb positions in August and September 1995.
No way. These attacks were from a military point of view totally
irrelevant, they had only symbolic significance. The Serbs knew
what was going to happen and had abandoned most of their positions.
The munitions depots were empty. There was at the very most a bit
of damage to their communications system, and that was quickly repaired.
What paved the way for Dayton was a dramatic change in the military-strategic
balance. The Croatian army had, in particular, thanks to American
support, taken a considerable amount of territory from both the
Serbs and the Muslims. After that Milosevic and Tudjman had reached
an accord, because both decided that given the circumstances it
was no longer possible that a big, strong Muslim state would emerge
- and that was what both had wanted to prevent by means of the war.
That, and the UN's efforts to do as much as possible, in the midst
of the warring parties, to protect the civilian population, led
eventually to the peace of Dayton. But NATO had decided before this
to state that the UN mission was a failure and that NATO's military
power was what in the end led to an agreement. But that is emphatically
not true.'
And lastly, on the Kosovo war: 'NATO has fought the wrong war in
Kosovo. Deliberately, because of its own credibility, and because
of the relations between the European countries and the United States,
and for all sorts of other reasons, the lessons of Bosnia have been
ignored. They believed their own propaganda about Dayton and based
their strategy for Kosovo on it. As a result this strategy was doomed
to fail. The wrong means were deployed for the wrong targets. They
confused an ordinary war with a humanitarian mission. In an ordinary
war you achieve victory by overpowering the enemy with an enormous
surplus of force. In that case the safety of the population takes
second place - and that's exactly what happened in Kosovo. But in
the case of a humanitarian mission the safety of the population
should come first. The conduct of humanitarian war should include
three elements: political action, aid action, and security action.
These three elements must be continually coordinated with each other,
and none of the elements should be lacking at any moment.
'The deployment of ground troops is absolutely necessary in this.
You cannot solve complex military problems solely from the air.
Yes, naturally you can win a war from the air by dropping an atom
bomb, which solves all problems in one fell swoop, but that is of
course unacceptable. So you need ground troops. Why were these not
deployed in Kosovo? Is it because of the fear of body bags, the
fear of public opinion? I don't believe so. American opinion polls
show that people there believe that America, because it is the most
important great power, has a duty to help oppressed people. Moreover
there were also a great many deaths amongst their own soldiers during
the UN mission in Bosnia, without that having led to a loss of support
from the people. The French lost some seventy to eighty soldiers,
the British more than fifty. Nobody considered this reason enough
to quit the mission.
'I think that a much more credible reason is that many armies from
NATO countries are accustomed to what I call "levels of training
that do not represent the realities of war". Their programme
of exercises are, so to speak, not aimed at a real war, but at a
civil society version of war. They have introduced all kinds of
administrative procedures, particularly in the area of decision-making,
which are unworkable under war conditions. So you can go outside
the command structure to appeal against the decisions of your superiors.
You can make use of working hours and regulations on leave forced
through by trade unions. And in all sections, women are allowed,
including in those where they, according to my firm conviction,
in conditions of war do not belong. Because think for a moment at
how a ground war in Kosovo would have looked: it would have been
an infantry war, a low-level war, in the mountains with a rucksack
and a rifle, fighting from improvised bunkers, in villages, in forests.
The sort of war that the 14th Legion conducted in Burma against
the Japanese. Women cannot physically cope with such a war. And
I'm afraid that very many armies within NATO are no longer trained
in this hard reality of the conduct of war - certainly not the armies
of small countries. The modern NATO armies are very good in high-tech
war, but for an infantry war they're imperfectly prepared. Yes,
your marines could still perhaps do it, and the Belgian paratroopers,
but those are small units, you won't get so far with them.
'So if you really want to conduct a humanitarian war, a war in
which the civilian population is spared rather than being made the
victim, then you need an overwhelming surplus of military force
both in the air and on the ground. If you don't have that, as in
Kosovo, then you give the enemy a free hand. Milosevic was able
to achieve his aim without NATO being able to do anything about
it. He wanted to chase the Kosovars out of Kosovo, and he succeeded.
It is the diplomatic pressure from Russia which is to be thanked
for the fact that the Serbs were finally restrained. And it was
touch and go whether the Russians would also take half of Kosovo,
or allow it to be taken by the Serbs, at the moment that they were
already advancing towards the airfield at Pristina. That that didn't
happen then we can thank just one thing: namely a telephone call
from Clinton to Yeltsin, in which he said "if you do that,
and we can't stop you, you won't get another cent from the IMF."
That eventually determined the outcome of the war, and not NATO's
air power. NATO did not win militarily, nor politically, it was
defeated. NATO lost because of a lack of strategic insight and a
lack of leadership. So, that's how I see things, and now it's for
you to pull my statements to bits.' Sir Michael laughed, and the
starters arrived.
Let's begin at the end. You said that Milosevic had achieved his
ends and chased the Kosovars out of Kosovo. But the refugees were
quickly able to return. So you could say that he won the battle
but lost the war.
Sir Michael Rose: 'You could say that, yes, but it is the reasoning
of someone who hasn't succeeded in achieving their first aim. It's
the argument of a loser. You can say that the people were eventually
able to return, but thousands of people fewer than when the war
began. And the country to which they returned was completely devastated.
A great many people were deeply traumatised. And as I said, that
they could return was not so much to NATO's credit as to the Russians',
and the importance that Russia attached to IMF moneys. NATO cannot
possibly maintain that they won the war. It is intolerable, and
they should not be allowed to get away with it!'
Okay, let's go back to the beginning. You called the UN mission
in Bosnia a success. How would you describe the goal of this mission
itself?
'The most important goal of our mission was to offer humanitarian
aid and relieve human suffering. The second aim was, and this goes
also for any peace-keeping force, to try to create circumstances
in which peace is given a chance - which is something other than
imposing peace by violence. The third goal, to finish, was to prevent
the further spread of violence. It was for all involved, as much
for us in the military as for the political leaders who directed
us, totally clear that we would be completely occupied with peacekeeping
and not with waging war. This would be heavy peacekeeping, if necessary
supported from the air and with heavy artillery, but it would never
become the conduct of war, it was not our task to destroy their
military infrastructure, or eliminate soldiers, or whatever.'
But this clarity wasn't maintained. There was in the end a great
deal of confusion over what the UN soldiers there should and could
do, wasn't there?
'Of course - enormous confusion. We received a lot of contradictory
orders and signals, from the different countries as well as from
different corners of one and the same country. Then I spoke to the
British UN ambassador in New York and he said, "you are a peace
keeping force and that means that your possibilities are limited.
But the next day my own Chief of Staff was told that we should punish
the aggressor, that we had to take sides in the conflict. So I said,
what now? What do you want? Because it doesn't matter to me. I'd
like to be fighting here. But then I need another set of orders
and other equipment. And then they decided after all that we should
stick with peacekeeping. If you look at the orders we had, then
the mission was a success. I've given you the figures. The criticism
of our performance came mostly from people who thought that we should
have done more.'
Let's talk about this criticism. You were accused of taking the
side of the Serbs. Just as NATO wanted to give your troops air support,
who were charged with protecting the enclave of Bihac, you ordered
your units in the field not to pass on the locations of the Serb
positions.
'That's a downright lie, pure propaganda from the Bosnian government.
I know exactly what the repercussions were of the orders which I
gave at the time. They concerned an attack from the south by the
Serbs on Bihac. We were in the north and the centre, and I gave
my units orders immediately to go south in order to map the Serb
positions so that I could pass these on to the air force. I'd asked
for this air support myself! But two years later a report appeared
in the paper that I had been so pro-Serb that I ordered my men not
to give the Serb positions to the air force.'
It would have concerned leaked CIA reports, in which a word-for-word
transcript of your orders appeared. The radio channels which you
used were bugged by the CIA.
'Of course they were bugged! Not by the CIA, however, but by the
Bosnian secret service. And the Bosnians were bugged by the Serbs.
Everyone knew that. You kept it in mind. When these stories came
out I went to NATO and said, you've got the papers, you can prove
that these are lies. Give me the literal transcripts, so that I
can defend myself. And what did they say? That regrettably they
had no documents regarding this period, that unfortunately they
had been destroyed. To which I replied, how then did I get this
out of your archives yesterday? Because I'm no fool, I had someone
working for me in their headquarters. I already had those reports.'
So it was not only the Bosnian secret service, or the Bosnian government,
who in your view came out with that report, but also NATO?
'Yes, they lied. And why? To maintain the myth that the UN was weak
and corrupted, and that it was NATO who in the end decided the war
in Bosnia. They deliberately and knowingly supported the Bosnian
propaganda. They had the proof in hand to exonerate me, but they
refused to make it public.'
Then you occupy a truly remarkable position. Because you were, as
a British General, of course also usually part of NATO. And at the
same time you were misused by NATO to blacken the UN's name.
'NATO began to be seen by us at a particular moment as a part of
the problem and not part of the solution. This came about through
their believing in the Bosnian government's propaganda, as well
as that of the Croats. Why did the Americans take the Muslim side?
Because the elections arrived, because the Muslims succeeded in
persuading the media that they were the oppressed party, because
the American public began to believe that the Muslims were the victims
and the Serbs the wrongdoers. The US government then wanted to show
that something was happening, that results had been achieved, and
for that reason they took sides. Except that the problem of course
was that the Muslim army didn't amount to anything. Without support
from the NATO ground troops the Muslims could never have turned
the war in their favour. And given that absolutely no NATO country
was really prepared to fight in Bosnia, which includes the Americans,
one had to be prepared to accept a compromise. Which is of course
what in the end happened. Dayton was a compromise and a compromise
that for the Bosnian Muslims ended up even worse than what they
would have been able to achieve a year earlier. And how many deaths
occurred in that time?"
Another important point of criticism of the UN is that they set
up the so-called safe havens, and then turned out to be neither
prepared nor able to defend these areas effectively. With all the
terrible consequences that had. Wasn't the idea of safe areas flawed?
Rose: 'Absolutely not. It is an excellent concept. In the Middle
Ages there were always in times of war places where civilians could
shelter from the violence. But the concept stands or falls on the
warring parties being prepared to respect these places of safety.
You can't expect peacekeepers to defend such an area because that
means warfare and they're not equipped for it. I said that from
the beginning, moreover. These areas were safe insofar as both parties
agreed on that and held to that agreement. But both parties breached
the agreement."
Both parties, so not just the Serbs?
Rose: 'Of course. Take Srebrenica. In April 1993 the Serbs decided
to attack Srebrenica, because the Muslims were continually carrying
out attacks from there on surrounding Serb villages. It was then
agreed that the Serbs would give up these attacks if the Muslims
in Srebrenica were disarmed, so that the Serb villages would be
safeguarded against Muslim violence. But the Muslims were never
disarmed and the attacks simply continued. That's how things went
in Bihac, and it wasn't any different in Srebrenica. Now most of
the people who were staying in Srebrenica certainly didn't come
from there. They were Muslims who came from other parts, in flight
from the violence. These people would rather have gone to Tuzla,
in the Muslim area. Mladic then offered to allow these people to
get away, so that they could go to Tuzla. And who held out against
that? Who denied these people safe passage? Precisely the Bosnian
government, the military leadership of the Muslims. And why? To
strengthen their own position of power. Because let's not forget,
the people who are running the show today in Bosnia are the same
people who time after time prolonged the suffering of their own
people by consciously rejecting the possibility of peace, because
they put their own political, military and financial interests first.
In the end NATO institutionalised and legitimised their totally
depraved and corrupt manner of operating politically. All the money
and all the efforts that are now being spent on the reconstruction
of Bosnia are benefiting the same people who were responsible for
the unnecessary suffering of the population. The man with whom I
had continually to deal whenever we had to negotiate over a transport
of aid goods, this same gentleman is now president of the Bosnian
airline. This man owns every jumbo jet in the country.
'Let me make one thing clear: I have more criticism of Milosevic,
of Mladic and of Karadzic than of the leader of the Muslims and
the head of the Bosnian government, Mr Izetbegovic. But in 1994
there was a cease-fire around Sarajevo, the town was prospering
again, transport was again possible from and to the town, there
was gas and light, there were plans being made for repairs. And
who then put an end to that truce? Mr Izetbegovic. And why? Because
he didn't want peace - yet. He thought that from the next phase
of war he had something to gain. You should have seen the faces
of the people in Sarajevo! They didn't want any more war, they wanted
peace. But the Bosnian government had other plans. So what I say
is that the Muslims had originally right on their side, but they
threw that right away themselves. When the UN went to their aid,
and the peacekeeping troops arrived to help prevent Bosnia from
disappearing from the map for good, they started to believe that
they could win the war. They were going to use the international
support to tilt the balance in their own favour. The UN's impartial
peacekeeping troops then became all at once an obstacle. From friends
we suddenly became an enemy. That was also said quite literally
to me by prominent Muslim leaders: They considered us, just like
the Serbs, an enemy. And they hoped that they could achieve more
with NATO's support. Which didn't happen. The Dayton peace came
a year later than it was needed, and the conditions were less favourable
to the Muslims. But they no longer had a choice. They gambled and
lost. And the biggest loser was the population. So I'm also critical
of the Muslims and not only the Serbs.'
Let's be honest: Sir Michael Rose has an interest. It is inevitable
that his opinions are coloured by the fact that UNPROFOR, his UNPROFOR,
has been weighed down with so many cartloads of criticism. It is
inevitable that it stings him that it is not the UN peacekeeping
force but NATO that walked off with the honours of the Dayton peace
agreement. Yet it is nevertheless indeed remarkable that his analysis
fits seamlessly with that of Rob de Wijk in the previous chapter,
who also called the idea that the Dayton agreement could be attributed
to NATO's air raids a myth, and who also was of the opinion that
this myth had set NATO on a false trail in the Kosovo war.
Before we return to Sir Michael Rose's criticism of Operation Allied
Force, we would like to give the floor to another expert. His name
is Clifford Beal, and he is the editor-in-chief of the world's most
influential military trade journal, a magazine which is essential
reading for every senior military officer and every politician charged
with military responsibilities: Jane's Defence Weekly. The offices
of Jane's (named after the magazine's founder, Fred T. Jane) are
to be found in the endless sea of red brick houses, tarmac roads
and railway lines which together form the outskirts of Greater London.
Clifford Beal welcome us to a rather nondescript meeting room identical
to the ones with which every other office appeared to be equipped.
We drank tea, as you would expect in England, and Beal began in
a similarly typically English fashion, with an apology. 'Actually,'
he said, 'I don't have a very good understanding of the things you
are writing about. I'm an outsider, an observer.'
'That,' we replied, 'is precisely the reason we want to speak to
you.'
And so Clifford Beal proceeded to an eloquent, well-rehearsed opening
statement - just as Sir Michael Rose had done. There was, however,
one difference: around five minutes into his discourse Beal's English
accent began slowly to make way for an unmistakable American twang.
When we asked him about this later, he explained that though American
he had over a long time become thoroughly Anglicised.
He drinks his tea with milk. .
Perhaps we can begin with the lessons that we can draw from the
Kosovo war.
Clifford Beal: 'You can look at this on two levels: the military-technological
and the political. To begin with the latter, I think that Kosovo
can be seen as a warning that something is changing in the way in
which the idea of "sovereignty" is regarded. Whether you
like it or not, because the United Nations in fact sanctioned NATO
actions after the event, a precedent was set for the future. And
I hear from various sides that people aren't happy with this, because
they weren't happy with the whole way in which the Kosovo crisis
unfolded. There is in itself nothing wrong with giving foreign policy
an ethical component, but at the same time it's important that you
keep a cool head. It is understandable that, under pressure also
from the media, the emotions play a role in decision-making, but
the danger exists that at a certain moment a decision-making process
is set in motion within which rationality has little place.'
Do you think that the television pictures of violence and of refugees
played an important role in the decision-making of the Western leaders?
Beal: 'Well, it certainly contributed.'
But didn't these Western leaders in their turn also use these pictures
to generate support for their air raids? And didn't Blair, amongst
others, continually appear on TV talking about genocide, ethnic
cleansing, mass murders, and so on?
Beal: 'Of course that's also true. When the prime minister of Britain
goes touring a refugee camp in his shirtsleeves, he is doing that
in the full knowledge that pictures of his visit will be shown throughout
the entire world. And that these will provoke a certain emotion.
So the media are also used, that's correct. In the course of this
war all sorts of factors played a role. Also, we at Jane's do not
know precisely at the moment, for example, precisely what happened
in Rambouillet. We'll probably know the truth some day, but that
is not yet the case. It seems that the Western countries were also
divided there. That some wanted to give diplomacy another chance,
but that the Americans especially wanted to teach the Serbs a lesson.
The Americans also now make no secret of the fact that they want
to see the back of Milosevic. They want a stable Serbia, a reconstructed
Serbia, but on their conditions, revamped along Western lines and
under Western influence.'
Did the Americans underestimate the Serbs and Milosevic?
Beal: 'I think that there is every reason to assume that Madeleine
Albright especially though that the Serbs at that time, under pressure
from those few NATO air raids around Sarajevo, signed the Dayton
treaty. And that on those grounds they concluded that Milosevic
would now also quickly back down. They thought, we chuck a few bombs,
he shoots off a few rockets so that his people can see that he's
prepared to defend his country, and then he backs down. A great
number of analysts, in Europe as well as in the United States, warned
that he would not back down. But they were not listened to - for
whatever reason.'
What lessons can be drawn from the war that followed this mistaken
estimation?
Beal: 'I can most easily talk about the military lessons, because
that's my field of expertise. There are two important lessons to
be learned. The first is that there exists a great need for more
and better precision weapons For various reasons: the first reason
is that if you really want to win in a military operation such as
this using only the air force, you must be capable, including in
heavy cloud and fog, of taking out your targets with great precision,
so that you don't have repeatedly to bomb before you know with certainty
that you have taken out your target. The people in finance ministries
should be pleased if better precision bombs arrive, because that
would save bombs and therefore money. The ordinary citizen should
also be pleased, because it would reduce the chance of civilian
casualties. Moreover the technology is developing so quickly that
these improved weapons should soon not cost so much as the old precision
weapons. And what we have seen in Kosovo is that these old precision
weapons are not satisfactory and that we have too few of the new
type of weapon. At the end of the war the Americans had run right
through almost all of their stocks.
'The second lesson to be learned is that there is still a great
deal of room for improvement in the area of interoperability - that
is at the moment the buzz-word in military circles. What it means
is the capacity of the different countries to make use of each other's
systems. In Kosovo it turned out in particular that great differences
existed between the various technical systems used. In, for example,
the area of radio communications. Some European NATO countries didn't
have available radio apparatus which was compatible with that of
the Americans. Because of this you had of necessity to make use
of frequencies which could be listened in to by the Serbs. Another
problem was the espionage. Both the Americans and the Germans made
use of unmanned aircraft to take aerial photos of enemy installations.
That is of course of vital importance, because before you send a
manned plane to drop bombs, you would first like to know where exactly
the targets are, and what there might be in the way of anti-aircraft
weapons. These American spy planes take digital photos, which they
send on straight to the ground. But the Germans still work with
old fashioned photographic rolls. So then a plane of that kind has
first to return, which doesn't always happen, and then the films
must be developed, and only then do you know what the enemy is up
to - or was up to, of course. Because modern warfare is a round
the clock business. It no longer stops when the sun goes down. So
the speed of information processing is of vital importance. And
in all of these areas NATO fell short. They weren't sufficiently
prepared. What you had in fact to deal with a fight between a giant
and a midget, and nevertheless they were beset with problems. NATO
could indeed claim major successes in the air campaign, but if you
look at the enormous number of flights, the thirteen- to fifteen
thousand attacks which were carried out, you are entitled to ask
how successful they really were. Naturally, they were reasonably
successful in destroying Serbia's infrastructure. But the mobile
targets, the tanks, the army units, how many of those were actually
taken out? In American air force circles there was decided disappointment
over the results.'
To what extent did the Gulf War play a role in this? Were expectations
of what air power could achieve inflated?
Beal: 'That certainly played a role. There had not been sufficient
realisation that the conditions in Europe, with its mountains, bad
weather, and in this case its small, mobile army units, are completely
different from those in the Arabian desert, where large army units
were concentrated in an open landscape under a clear sky. And don't
forget, when the Iraqis set fire to those olive groves, this immediately
caused problems with these precision weapons. Because as the smoke
developed the laser guidance system wouldn't work any more. The
lessons should have been drawn from this but they were insufficiently
learned. I think that the manufacturers of all of this hi-tech stuff
also played a role in this. They made the things seem rather more
splendid than in reality they were. Because in the Gulf War as well
the bombings were far from being as precise as they would have had
us believe.'
Now if we could talk about the industry, to what extent did the
military-industrial complex as it is so aptly called play a role
in the Kosovo war?
Beal: 'Naturally it's the case that wars are used to test new weapons
systems. That happened in the Gulf, and it also happened in Kosovo.
And if it turns out that a new weapons system works well, then more
are ordered. But a war isn't started so that a weapons system can
be tested, so that was not the case here. There are always other,
political reasons.'
You said just now that we should conclude that still more intelligent
weapons systems are needed. Yet at the same time you say that the
Europeans lag far behind the Americans. How must that then be for
the rest of the world? Aren't you afraid that the enormous lead
the West enjoys in the technological-military area will lead to
new tensions? Or to a new arms race?
Beal: 'There's certainly something in that, but on the other hand
technological development doesn't simply stand still. So you don't
have that much choice. Furthermore it is becoming ever easier to
avail oneself of modern technological methods. You don't any longer
have to put a spy satellite into space yourself in order to be able
to conduct espionage from space. There are private corporations
which have access to that sort of satellite and which you can simply
commission to take extremely detailed photos, or infra-red pictures
for example, of whatever bit of the earth's surface you like. That
is now already the reality. Israel, for example, tried to get the
American authorities to put pressure on that sort of firm so that
no photos of Israeli territory would be sold to Arab clients. But
the American government in the end told them that they had no say
in the matter. That is therefore a development which runs parallel
to the technological development of Western defence capabilities.
And then the Russians may not have the money right now to do very
much about the development of defence apparatus, but the Chinese
are working hard on it. They're working on laser techniques by which
they can shoot satellites out of the sky, or at least damage them
so much that they become unusable. And satellites are of vital importance
for hi-tech warfare. So I do indeed see the problem, but I think
that we have little choice. You can at the very most say that more
effort should be made to resolve conflicts or even to prevent them.
Because you can't expect the soldiers to do everything.'
And that brings us smoothly back to Sir Michael Rose, one of the
soldiers from whom politicians expected more than he could deliver.
While his meal went slowly cold, he slammed the politicians who
send men such as himself to war, and then start new wars on the
basis of a faulty analysis of past failures.
Sir Michael Rose: 'My military instinct tells me that NATO did
not do everything it could in Rambouillet to prevent a new war.
I can't prove it, but everything seems to point to the fact that
they had already decided before the last round of negotiations to
go to war. Why else would they have come with ever more new demands?
Why else would they have demanded from Yugoslavia that they should
declare themselves within twenty four hours in agreement with a
military paragraph that gave NATO the right to make unlimited use
of Yugoslav territory? No country whatsoever would have accepted
that. I think therefore that NATO per se wanted proofs that it could
fulfil its new self-appointed role, that they wanted to show that
they could succeed where the UN in Bosnia had failed, as they said.
They wanted to show the world that they could do it cleanly, clinically
and effectively in Kosovo. And I also understand the psychology
behind this very well. I understand the aversion to the Serbs, after
everything that had happened in Croatia and in Bosnia. I understand
what was driving NATO. But it was not for nothing that rules were
laid down in the past to which countries must abide when it comes
to waging war. This was done because they wanted to get rid of the
unworkable idea that there were just and unjust wars. And that idea
is now once again being embraced. We are going back to the time
when countries believed on the basis of moral considerations that
they had right on their side when they attacked another country.
And that is exceptionally dangerous. How much easier would it have
been for the NATO countries to condemn the war in Chechenya if they
had not themselves been drawn into the struggle in Kosovo? How much
more credible would the criticism of the Russians have been? But
now they have themselves ignored the international laws, and of
course the Russians' crimes in Chechenya are worse than those of
NATO in Yugoslavia, but an ordinary burglar has nevertheless little
right to criticise a big bank robber. It doesn't matter whether
you have broken the law a little bit or a great deal. Whoever breaks
the law loses moral credibility.
'Humanitarian war is an objectionable concept. A humanitarian action,
which is possible, consists of the three parts which I listed earlier.
But to whitewash a war by calling on humanitarianism, that is deadly
dangerous. European history gives enough bloody examples of that.'
On this point as well the former general had the support of the
editor-in-chief of Jane's Defence Weekly, who had this to say about
the humanitarian mission of the West: 'NATO, western Europe and
America want to impose their vision on the rest of the world. They
see it as a question of good versus evil. They want to spread democracy
and the free market. But the question of course is whether you can
indeed do this in this way. Or whether you won't very quickly run
into the practical limitation that you can't be everywhere at once,
that you simply do not have sufficient means and manpower to bend
the entire world to your will'
And this, on the humanitarianism of the war in Kosovo: 'You of course
have to ask yourself whether it is permissible in a humanitarian
war to bomb targets such as television stations and electricity
generators. Shouldn't NATO have warned that this broadcaster was
considered a military target, so that the civilians who worked there
would have had the choice to remain at home? In a traditional war
you don't have to pose such questions. This sort of target is legitimised
because you can consider it part of the military-industrial complex.
But if you devastate Donau, if you bomb chemical factories so that
enormous quantities of poison go straight into the water, threatening
the drinking water of hundreds of thousands of civilians, can you
then still speak of a humanitarian war, or is that simply chemical
warfare? These are important questions. An enormous catastrophe
for civilians has been brought about in the name of humanitarianism.
If I was now a young law student I would immediately specialise
in military law. Because in my view there will be a great deal of
money to be earned in the years to come presenting claims against
the West on behalf of the people of Yugoslavia.'
Sir Michael Rose: 'The Geneva Convention states categorically that
everything possible must be done to spare the civilian population.
So if you're going to drop bombs from rapid-flying aircraft from
15,000 feet and you regularly miss your target causing unnecessary
civilian casualties, then you will have to adjust your strategy.
Refrain from doing that, and continue despite everything for eleven
weeks, then you are committing a war crime. A civilian who accidentally
lets off a pistol and kills someone else can call on the fact that
it was an accident, but if he does this ten times one after another,
he will be be thrown in jail. Then he's a criminal. And I can assure
you that within NATO it was thought of in just this way. Among the
people that I know there I have still come across no-one who thought
the Kosovo war a success. They are ashamed by what happened there.
They considered it a hopeless mission carried out in an excruciatingly
poor fashion. For external consumption they maintain the appearance
that it was a success, but internally they are very, very unhappy.'
Beal: 'You should ask General Wesley Clark if he is still of the
opinion that the NATO air raids were such a great success. Or if
he was able to conduct the war in the fashion that he himself would
have done, or whether he had to settle for compromises, that he
was obliged furthermore to follow the way of least risk, in order
to ensure that the alliance stayed together. I think that that was
the case. I think that he was mistaken about how difficult it is
to conduct a war together with nineteen countries, each of which
has its own interests and culture. And you should ask him how it
was that journalists who were on the spot saw far fewer destroyed
Serbian tanks than NATO claimed were hit."
Rose: 'How did Clark explain the pictures of all these Serbian tanks
and soldiers withdrawing from Kosovo following the signing of the
peace? They did not have the appearance of a crushed and defeated
army. On the contrary. Once again: NATO did not win this war. And
what should we think of the destabilising effect that radiated from
this war? NATO has introduced a culture of violence. They have shown
the world that they reserve to themselves the right to use violence
to bring order to things if something doesn't please them. But what
if Milosevic, just like the Russians, had had a nuclear weapon -
would they still have attacked him? I don't think so. I think that
they would then, just as in Chechenya, have thought twice. So what
is the message to Milosevic and to other dictators like him? Make
sure you get a nuclear weapon!'
As we said, we would have loved to have put all of this to General
Wesley Clark, but we didn't get the chance. In a number of interviews
with a range of media outlets the former commander-in-chief did
react to critics of the NATO attacks in general and his own role
in particular.
It seems to us extremely doubtful that Clifford Beal and Sir Michael
Rose would share the view of Leonard Olstein, journalist on the
leading Dutch current affairs weekly Vrij Nederland that Wesley
Clark "displayed a brilliant strategy in Kosovo."
Due to the untimely death of one of the authors of this work,
Karel Glastra van Loon, neither the tapes nor the transcripts of
the original interviews with Sir Michael Rose and Clifford Beal
could be located. The interviews had therefore to be re-translated,
back from the Dutch translation into English, so that the actual
words used by Mr Beal and Sir Michael will have undergone inevitable
changes. Great care has been taken to preserve their meaning, however.
We nevertheless apologise to the two interviewees and hope that
they will understand that this was a most unfortunate case of circumstances
beyond our control.
See Also:
Chapter One
Chapter Two
Chapter Three
Chapter Four
Chapter Five
Chapter Seven
Chapter Eight
Chapter Nine
Chapter Ten
Chapter Eleven