In 2003 the conservative weekly The Economist expressed the view
that the proposal for a European Constitution then on the table
would be better consigned to the dustbin. The new text has done
nothing to change this opinion. The magazines principal objection
is that the constitutiongoes too far in many respects, for example
in undermining the sovereignty of the member states. Left and right
should unite in opposition to the proposal, as has indeed often
happened in relation to European affairs. Anyone who values the
social and democratic qualities of our societies will have good
reason to view this constitution as a clear step in the wrong direction.
The left and the right will only have different arguments to bolster
their opposition.
For the left, the problem is the monetary policy that, institutionalised
as it would be by this constitution, has in reality prevailed ever
since the Maastricht Treaty drew its economic picture of Europe.
So what precisely is wrong with the monetary arrangements laid down
in the proposed constitutions text?
The charges are as follows
The constitution specifies a stringent monetary policy controlled
by a strictly independent central bank. Democratic control of any
kind is practically non-existent. Together with prescriptions concerning
the budgetary policy of national and European authorities, this
lays the basis for a neoliberal social policy which will in turn
lead to further destruction of the social provisions in the member
states.
A closer look should also warn us that these elements of the constitution
have at the same time created the conditions for a further centralisation
of power in Europe as well as a foreign policy dictated by big countries.
Beyond the strictly economic and financial dimensions
It is important to assert that whenever the argument turns to money
which means also whenever we are discussing monetary policy
the political context within which that money operates is
crucial. Whenever politicians attempt to inform citizens about the
euro, they limit themselves to practical matters, such as the way
in which it facilitates cross-border payments or the comparison
of prices in different countries. Critics concentrate on the difficulties
of the changeover, euro-inflation and similar issues. Sometimes
they might go a little further than this and refer to the strength
or weakness of the euro on the international financial markets,
the varying exchange rate between the euro and the dollar (this
began badly, but has in the meantime reached a reasonable level),
the strength of the market in eurobonds, and the way in which the
eurozone countries held their ground during the Asian crisis. Critics
might say that the euro is too strong, or too weak.
But we should be careful. If we confine ourselves too strictly
to economic and financial arguments, we shall not get very far with
our criticisms. Look a little further and it will become obvious
that money is political as well. Money functions only by grace of
a strong political system. Whenever money loses its value through
runaway inflation, whenever exchange rates collapse, and whenever
financial systems descend into crisis, you can be sure that political
problems are to blame. A strong currency demands a strong political
system. And that is precisely the problem.
The political context
According to Andre Szasz (1), who was closely involved in the negotiations
that led to the Maastricht Treaty, of which the formation of a monetary
union was the most important aspect, the decision to establish a
single currency was never in doubt. The then French President Giscard
dEstaing wanted the Federal Republic of Germany to give up
her currency as the price for reunion with the GDR. The French thought
to increase their power by these means, especially if they could
win control of the European Central Bank, which is why there was
so much bickering about the appointment of Wim Duisenberg as the
Banks first president. The French were opposed, and agreed
eventually to the choice only because they believed that they had
received a guarantee from the Germans that Duisenberg would, after
a short period, give way to a French successor. This is just what
happened. In the meantime the French banker Jean-Claude Trichet
has taken over the banks leadership.
The decision to make the central bank strictly independent was
also a political decision. The thinking behind this is that monetary
policy is better handled by technocrats than by politicians, who
would be inclined to use the central bank to pursue their own political
goals, for example allowing the currency to be put under pressure
in order to finance military campaigns or to pay as cheaply as possible
for spendthrift policies.
Against this it might be argued that the technocrats are often
too rigidly doctrinaire to have much time to consider social problems.
They can be too stringent in their monetary policy, with all the
undesirable consequences that entails. A well-known example is Paul
Volcker who, as chairman of the American Federal Reserve in 1979
put his foot down so hard on the monetary brakes that interest rates
soared to exorbitant levels and unemployment rose above 10%, costing
Jimmy Carter the Presidency. (Reagan succeeded him.) The left principle
here is that whilst technocrats are needed in the application of
policy, they must operate under democratic control to the extent
that they become inclined to take into account the political and
social conditions under which they are operating,
As the constitution now prescribes, the European Central Bank has,
as its primary task, the preservation of price stability. In practice
this means that the Bank seeks to hold eurozone inflation to a level
below 2%. It is unclear why the figure should be 2%, rather than
4% or 8%. In any event this priority means that the technocrats
of the ECB spring into action as soon as inflation exceeds this
level, slamming on the brakes by, amongst other methods, raising
interest rates. This is monetary policy as advocated by the conservative
economist Milton Friedman, a stringent approach exclusively aimed
at managing inflation.
Socialists and social democrats should surely recoil from such
a policy, because what most concerns us is not the management of
inflation but rather employment and unemployment. If the price to
be paid for lowering unemployment is a little more inflation, then
we will gladly pay it. Yet this possibility would be ruled out by
the technocrats of the ECB and by this constitution. Should they
discover, as Volcker once did, that their anti-inflation policy
leads to mass unemployment, they would nevertheless continue along
the same course as if nothing had happened. To a certain extent
this is already evident. The ECB is exerting pressure in order to
maintain an inflation rate of below 2%, while unemployment in euro
land stands at almost the same level as the 10% that once cost Carter
his presidency.
We know of course that accepting a modicum of inflation in order
to force down unemployment is not without its risks, but that need
not rule it out. By holding down interest rates and increasing public
spending the state authorities can stimulate the economy and reduce
unemployment. (Japan and the US have had a reasonable amount of
success with this.) Yet such a policy would become impossible under
this constitution.
The need for a tighter political union
When the former Dutch prime minister, Ruud Lubbers, and the former
President of the European Commission, Jacques Delors, prepared the
Treaty of Maastricht, their starting point was the assumption that
a strong political union was a precondition for a monetary union.
When the fight for a bloated federalistic political union was lost,
on what has since become known as a "black Monday" for
Dutch diplomacy, the assembled great and good nevertheless went
ahead with the monetary union, the supposition being that the common
euro would make such a strengthened political union necessary. Their
reasoning was that the euro would further centralise power in Brussels
and demand a more common approach to social, economic and foreign
policies. This has since turned out to be correct.
In order to understand this political dimension, you have to realise
how a currency works. A currency needs to win peoples confidence.
Confidence is everything. We, the users of the euro, must have confidence
in its value while the rest of the world must be able to believe
in this euro just as they believe in the dollar. What that means
is that euroland has to make the Euro real, which in turn requires
that it be embedded in a strong political system. The difficulties
surrounding the stability pact have made it quite clear that this
strength has not as yet been achieved.
The stability pact was supposed to give conservatives confidence
in the euro. Participants in the single currency agreed through
the pact that they would maintain a balanced budget, at least not
allowing their deficit to exceed 3% of Gross National Product. Only
a year after the introduction of the euro it turned out that this
agreement could not be maintained, when France and Germany
the EUs big boys - found themselves in difficulties, reneged
on the deal and found themselves facing no consequences whatsoever.
Conservatives, with the Dutch finance minister Gerrit Zalm in the
forefront, argued for the inclusion in the constitution of the strict
agreements contained in the stability pact, but this was rejected
correctly so, because this would have meant making a conservative
economic policy a constitutional obligation! Meanwhile, conservative
confidence in the euro had suffered considerable damage.
Even though we do not want a stability pact in this form, political
energy remains committed to a euro in which we can have confidence
and thus to a strong political union. The constitution is an attempt
to found such a union by concentrating more power in European bodies,
transferring more democratic competence from the separate member
states to the European Parliament, and laying the basis for a common
foreign policy. This is what people such as Ruud Lubbers and Jacques
Delors believed was needed if confidence in the single currency
was to be achieved and maintained.
Why then does one nevertheless doubt that this is the case? There
are various reasons, but each is concerned with what might be called
the political economy of money. Say the trade unions and employers
find themselves in a conflict situation which leads to a spiral
of wage- and price increases, something which we have in the past
experienced. In such a case political decisiveness is needed if
the spiral is to be halted. A central bank president with authority
can help, but a successful policy will above all depend on strong-minded
ministers with both the power of persuasion and the means to put
pressure on both sides. In the Netherlands for this purpose we have
the Social and Economic Council (SER) and other governmental organs.
In France they have ministries with extensive powers. On the European
level, however, no such powerful decision-making institution exists.
The EU entirely lacks institutions capable when necessary of acting
with strength and credibility.
And what can be done if a state authority within the eurozone spends
too much, has no idea how to solve problems affecting its pension
system, or is in some other way acting irresponsibly? Once again
what this points to is a central power which can call the member
state into line, just as The Hague can bring the Province of Gelderland
to book if it behaves in an irresponsible fashion. Resistance to
The Hague in such circumstances is unthinkable, because the central
government has simply too many powers at its disposal. The same
goes for the separate states of the US. California is obliged to
reduce its deficit whether the states authorities like it
or not because the federal government has the power to force them
to do so. Europes technocrats, including Netherlands Central
Bank president Nout Wellink, for this reason warn that more central
control is needed, and thus more concentration of powers in Brussels.
This also holds true for a common foreign policy. The US government
is obliged to protect the dollar with a forceful foreign policy
including military intervention. When foreign debt reaches astronomical
proportions, the Americans have no choice but to pursue such a course.
They cannot in general allow the situation in the Middle East, with
its major stocks of dollars, to get out of control. In order to
guarantee the value of their dollar they are forced to act. This
costs money, a lot of money, not to mention American lives. By aspiring
to create a world currency, the countries which have adopted the
euro have committed themselves to the formation and exercise of
world political power. This demands a clear common foreign policy
and a strong European army, which in turn demands a strong political
union, each of which is foreseen in the constitution.
The lefts dilemma
The problem for the left is that the logic of the euro demands
such a strong political union. Failure to realise this will bring
incalculable problems. The PvdA (Dutch Labour Party) has for this
reason opted to support the constitution whilst criticising it constructively.
(They have always been in favour of the euro, a fact that in the
light of the foregoing arguments might be held against them.) In
the meantime the social democrats must also recognise that with
this sort of political integration Europes democratic and
social qualities can only deteriorate and that this is the price
of the euro. Even if the constitution is voted down, we are stuck
with this euro and thus with the logic of an ever closer political
union and a conservative monetary policy.
What do we want?
Is it possible that a strengthening of the democratic and social
qualities of our society could be achieved through the constitution?
I cannot honestly see how. In this case the argument goes somewhat
beyond the subject of the political economy of money. Now we are
dealing rather with the problem of a political union which is too
large and too diverse for us to be able to speak of a true political
community. A European parliament might in such a case be strengthened,
but this would make it no more democratic. This Europe is too big
and too diverse for it to be able to have a truly democratic parliament.
The distances to Brussels are too great, not only physically but
also in an ideal and symbolic sense. The Dutch, Austrians, Danes
and Germans do not feel European enough to bother themselves about
what happens in Brussels. There is no European news that "we"
can share with each other, no conflicts that hold our common attention.
Even the conflict over Iraq was not a conflict between citizens,
but one played out entirely at governmental level. It was therefore
not a democratic conflict at all, for this Europe does not function
as a democracy, in spite of its parliament.
This Europe is not becoming more of a social Europe. As I have
demonstrated, the institutions responsible for monetary policy,
with an independent central bank whose only goal is price stability,
compel the Union to follow a neoliberal policy. Add to this fiscal
competition, through which taxes are forced ever downwards, and
there remains less and less financial breathing space for a social
policy. In the Netherlands we have seen the consequences of this,
with cuts in spending setting the tone. Even though we have never
before been so rich and so prosperous as we are now, we can no longer
trust important social provisions. That is not logical, but it is
indeed the logic of the euro and of European monetary policy, as
well as of the policy stipulated in the constitution.
Conclusion
For anyone who warms towards the social and democratic qualities
of our society, this constitution is a real "chiller".
A no is therefore imperative, but rejection of the constitution
will on its own not be enough. Our society needs an alternative
vision, a vision first of all of another Europe. Cooperation is
of course a good thing. But the political union for which our current
leaders appear to be striving or is it rather a case of the
power sought by a number of member states? is not one which
we can support. A looser connection is desirable, one that makes
it possible to work on a stronger and more vital democratic process
in societies which can indeed function as political communities.
That democratic process is a precondition for a social policy that
responds to the feeling for justice and solidarity, the common bond
that people in this society still have. And with such a social policy
belongs a monetary policy which pays due attention to social conditions.
Arjo Klamer is professor of cultural economics at Erasmus University
in Rotterdam. Together with ninety-nine other economists he has
signed a declaration against the euro. To read more of his work
go to www.Klamer.nl, which contains some material in English.
(1) Andre Szasz is a retired Dutch banker and the author of The
Road to Monetary Union (London: Palgrave Macmillan, 1999)