November
29, 2005 17:37 | by
Walden Bello
A speech delivered to universities in Canada in October, 2005
I have been asked to speak on the crisis of American hegemony.
In my book, Dilemmas of Domination, I identify three dimensions
of this crisis.
The first is the crisis of overextension, or the growing gap between
imperial reach and imperial grasp, the most striking example of
which is the US's being drawn into a quagmire in Iraq. This has
led to an erosion of its strategic position globally and made the
threat of the employment of US military force to discipline recalcitrant
governments and forces throughout the world less credible than it
was three years ago. Hugo Chavez' scintillating defiance of American
power would not be possible without the Iraqi resistance's successfully
pinning down US interventionist forces in a war without end.
The second is the crisis of overproduction, overaccumulation, or
overcapacity. This refers to the growing gap between the tremendous
productive capacity of the global capitalist system and the limited
global demand for the commodities produced by this system. The result
has been, over time, drastically lowered growth rates in the central
economies, stagnation, and a crisis of profitability. Efforts by
global capital to regain profitability by more intensively exploiting
labour in the North or moving out to take advantage of significantly
lower wages elsewhere have merely exacerbated the crisis. On the
one hand, neoliberal policies in the North and structural adjustment
programs in the South have gutted global demand. On the other hand,
the export of capital has created massive new industrial capacity
in China and selected other countries. New productive capacity and
stagnant if not declining global demand is the recipe for the exacerbation
of the crisis of profitability.
One indicator of the deepening crisis of profitability is that
competition has replaced cooperation as the dominant aspect of the
relationship among global capitalist elites. From the project of
globalization that more or less united the global capitalist class
during the Clinton era, we have entered, in the Bush period, into
a period of intense national or regional capitalist competition.
In so far as the Bush administration adheres to the globalist capitalist
project, it is that of managed globalization, one that ensures that
US corporate interests do not get hurt but become the main beneficiaries
of the process. Protection for US corporate interests and free trade
for the rest of the world-this is the operational dictum of Washington,
one that is now on display in the US's adamant refusal to abide
by the NAFTA ruling on Canadian softwood imports. Given this nationalist-protectionist
posture on the part of Washington, it is not surprising that the
WTO talks leading to the Sixth Ministerial in Hong Kong are in danger
of collapse.
The third dimension of the crisis that I identify is the crisis
of legitimacy of US hegemony. This, I think, is as serious as the
other two crises, since, as an admirer of Gramsci, I do think that
legitimacy, more than force or the market, is the linchpin of a
system of social relations. One dimension of this crisis of legitimacy
is the crisis of the multilateral system of global economic governance
owing to the US' no longer wanting to act as a primus inter pares,
or first among equals, in the WTO, World Bank, and the IMF, and
its wishing to unilaterally pursue its interests through these mechanisms,
thus seriously impairing their credibility, legitimacy, and functioning
as global institutions.
Another dimension of this crisis of legitimacy is the crisis of
Lockean democracy, that model of democratic rule that the US has
promoted as the system of self-rule both in the North and in the
South. I would like to focus the rest of my talk on this dimension
of the crisis of hegemony.
Lockean democracy is in crisis throughout the whole world today.
This is ironic, given the fact that just over a decade ago, liberal
democracy American-style was supposed to sweep everything before
it. How different from the Fukuyaman end-of-history mood is the
sense of crisis today, one that the thinker Richard Rorty captures
quite well in his comment: "In the worst case scenario, historians
will someday have to explain why the golden age of Western democracy,
like the age of the Antonines, lasted only about two hundred years."(1)
I must confess that I know little about Canada, but I do follow
some of the debate on the national security regime to realize that
the paranoidal tightening of national security practices in the
name of combating terrorism-including complicity in the rendition
of one's citizens to another country, where they are likely to undergo
torture, as in the Arar case--poses a serious threat to the term
"liberal" in liberal democracy.
I know more about your lovely neighbour, the United States. There,
the "democracy" in liberal democracy has long been put
into question by the massive hijacking of elections by corporate
financing that has corrupted both the Republican and Democratic
parties and the systematic disenfranchisement of poor people symbolized
by the Florida elections of 2000 and the Ohio elections of 2004.
There, corporate rule has reached its apogee with George W. Bush
doing the bidding of US industry in torpedoing the Kyoto Protocol,
awarding his vice president's corporate allies such as Halliburton
with no-bid contracts, going to war for his oil cronies, and creating
a free-market paradise for US corporations in Iraq.
There, the military establishment has become so unaccountable to
its nominal civilian superiors that one cannot but agree with William
Pfaff when he writes, "The United States is not yet eighteenth
century Prussia, when the military owned the state, [but] the threat
is more serious than most Americans realize."(2)
There, the "liberal" in liberal democracy has been subverted
by a Patriot Act that eliminates many of the few barriers that had
remained between the individual and total monitoring and control
by Big Brother. The Patriot Act is best described by Harvard Professor
Elaine Scarry as "a gigantic license to search and seize that
violates the Fourth Amendment."(3)
What is clear is that what prides itself as the first modern democracy
has ceased to be a model for the rest of the world.
What I would like to dwell on a bit is the state of democracy in
the developing world. Just a decade ago, we were supposed to be
in the midst of Samuel Huntington's so called "third wave"
of democratization, as country after country in Latin America, Asia,
and Africa threw off ruling dictatorships and adopted variants of
the Anglo-American democratic model. Today the recurrent question
is: are we undergoing a reversal of that wave?
Let me take as an example of the changing fortunes of democracy
the situation in my country, the Philippines.
Whatever Happened to People Power?
"People power" used to be synonymous with the Philippines.
In February 1986 Filipinos captured the imagination of the world
when they rushed out to the streets to support a military rising
and ousted the strongman Ferdinand Marcos. Fifteen years later,
in January 2001, they again surged to the streets to bring down
President Joseph Estrada, who was widely believed to be the recipient
of hundreds of millions of pesos from illegal gambling activities.
Today, however, they are largely absent while another president
stands accused, this time of stealing elections.
Intercepted telephone conversations between President Gloria Macapagal
Arroyo and an electoral commissioner during the elections of May
2004 showed her attempting to influence the outcome of the polls.
Unable to deny it was her voice in the taped intercepts, Arroyo
publicly apologized for a "lapse in judgment." Instead
of defusing the situation, the admission triggered widespread calls
for her to resign.
In early September 2005, nearly three months after the scandal
broke, Arroyo blocked a bid to impeach her, clinging to power despite
a recent poll giving her the lowest overall performance rating among
the country's five most recent presidents. Those numbers were not,
however, translated into numbers in the streets. The biggest rally
anti-Arroyo forces could muster numbered, at most, 40,000. In contrast,
hundreds of thousands had clogged the main highway running through
Manila, popularly known as "EDSA," for days on end in
1986 and 2001.
What happened, asked Manila's veteran street activists. Why were
the people no longer protesting a clear-cut case of electoral fraud
by a president who was already vastly unpopular owing to ineptitude,
uninspiring leadership and widely believed allegations of corruption
even before the telephone intercepts surfaced?
The truth is that while people dislike Arroyo, they are also deeply
disillusioned with the political system, which has come to be known
as the "EDSA State." Conversations with middle- and lower-class
citizens inevitably produce the same answer to why they're not out
demonstrating: "Well, whoever replaces her will probably be
as bad, if not worse." Intrigued at the discovery that only
a handful of students in my undergraduate class in political sociology
at the University of the Philippines, the traditional hotbed of
activism, had attended the rallies, I posed to them the question,
"Is this democracy worth saving?" Two thirds said no.
Rather than taking to the streets, people are fleeing in large
numbers to Europe, the United States and the Middle East. Some 10
percent of the Filipino labour force now works overseas, and one
out of every four Filipinos wants to emigrate. It is estimated that
at least 30 percent of Filipino households now subsist on remittances
sent by 8 million expatriates.
The widespread cynicism about democracy is understandable, especially
when Filipinos compare their lot with the Chinese or the Vietnamese.
Some point out bitterly that while authoritarian Vietnam reduced
the proportion of the population living in extreme poverty from
51 percent in 1990 to 10 percent in 2003, the Philippines could
only bring it down from 20 percent to 14 percent in the same period.
They decry the fact that at 0.46, the Philippines' gini coefficient,
the most reliable measure of inequality, is the worst in Southeast
Asia.
These statistics come alive with a tour of metro Manila's vast
shantytowns, where conditions of urban squalor are unparalleled
in the region. During a recent visit to the sprawling Tatalon slum
in Quezon City, a constant refrain from people I interviewed was
that all recent administrations were the same in one respect: They
had done absolutely nothing for poor people, though a few conceded
that "Erap [former President Estrada] had a heart."
Elite Capture of Democratic Processes
I think that one key reason for the crisis of democracy in the
developing world is that electoral democracies of the kind favoured
by the West have been extraordinarily vulnerable to being hijacked
by elites. The system of democracy reestablished in the Philippines
after the ouster of the Marcos dictatorship in 1986 illustrates
the problem. It is one that encourages maximum factional competition
among the elite while allowing them to close ranks against any change
in the social and economic structure.
The Philippine system is democratic in the narrow sense of making
elections the arbiter of political succession. In the principle
of "one man/woman, one vote," there is formal equality.
Yet this formal equality cannot but be subverted by its being embedded
in a social and economic system marked by great disparities of wealth
and income.
Like the American political system on which it is modelled, the
genius of the Philippine democratic system, from the perspective
of the elite, is the way it harnesses elections to socially conservative
ends.(4) Running for office at any level of government is prohibitively
expensive, so that only the wealthy or those backed by wealth can
usually stand for elections. Thus the masses do choose their representatives
but from a limited pool of people of means that may belong to different
factions-those "in" and those "out" of power-but
are not different in terms of their political programs. The beauty
of the system in the eyes of the elite is that by periodically engaging
the people in an exercise to choose among different members of the
elite, elections make voters active participants in legitimizing
the social and economic status quo. Thus has emerged the great Philippine
paradox: an extremely lively play of electoral politics unfolding
above a class structure that is one of the most immobile in Asia.
Allowing for institutional and cultural variations, one can say
that the dynamics of democratic politics in countries such as Brazil,
Argentina, Mexico, Ecuador, and Thailand are similar to those in
the Philippines. Elite democracy is one word that some have used
to describe this system. Polyarchy is another.
However, elite capture of democratic processes is, in my view,
only one factor that subverted the performance of the new democracies
that emerged in the 1980's. Another development was equally critical:
their economic promise was undermined by the demands of external
actors.
The External Subversion of Democracy
Let us revisit that historic conjuncture of the early 1980s. The
military dictatorships were collapsing not only because of internal
resistance but also because key external actors such as the United
States, European Union, the World Bank, and International Monetary
Fund (IMF) withdrew their support from them. Now, one of the major
reasons for this about face was that the dictatorships had lost
the credibility, legitimacy, and minimum support to impose the economic
reform programs, better known as "structural adjustment,"
that these influential forces demanded. Promoted as necessary for
economic efficiency, these programs were designed to more widely
open these economies to foreign capital and foreign trade and to
enable countries to pay off their enormous foreign debts.
For instance, in Brazil and Argentina, tight monetary policies
and tight fiscal policies drew opposition not only from labour and
other civil society groupings in the early eighties but also from
business groups. Business interests once benefited from labour-repressive
policies imposed by these military dictatorships. Now, however,
business circles began to distance themselves from repressive governments
when neoliberal policies failed to produce the promised economic
growth. As Stephen Haggard and Robert Kaufmann observed:
With economic problems mounting, business elites began to reevaluate
the costs and benefits of the technocratic decision-making style
that characterized authoritarian rule. Business groups had complained
periodically about their lack of access to the remote technocrats
who conducted macroeconomic policy, but such concerns had been offset
by particularistic benefits and the fact that governments were willing
to repress popular sector challenges. The private sector's gradual
disaffection did not reflect a democratic epiphany, but a pragmatic
response to changing circumstances. With authoritarian governments
increasingly unable to deliver their side of the bargain, "voice"
began to appear increasingly important to business groups, even
if it meant reopening the arena to the previously excluded popular
sectors.(5)
The democratic governments which displaced authoritarian regimes
soon confronted their own dilemma. On the one hand, redistributive
policies were blocked by elites that had joined the anti-dictatorship
coalition, a development that we have already discussed. At the
same time, expansionary fiscal policies were discouraged by the
World Bank and the IMF. It soon became clear that what the multilateral
agencies wanted them to do was to use their democratic legitimacy
to impose structural adjustment programs. In Argentina, for instance,
the international financial institutions pressured the new government
of Raul Alfonsin to abandon neo-Keynesian policies, implement tax
reforms, liberalize trade, and privatize public enterprises. When
the regime quailed, the World Bank "concluded that the government
had not made sufficient progress toward its reform goals and suspended
disbursements on a structural adjustment loan."(6)
Electoral democracy became the prime mechanism for the imposition
of stabilization or structural adjustment programs in Jamaica, Haiti.
the Philippines, Peru, and Pakistan. In Jamaica, the progressive
Manley government suffered a devastating loss of legitimacy when
it caved in to pressure to impose an IMF stabilization program blessed
by Washington. The program eroded living standards. It led to Manley's
crushing defeat in the 1980 elections by a successor who proceeded
to continue the same policies at the behest of the IMF. In Peru,
the government of Alberto Fujimori was elected on a populist, anti-IMF
platform, but proceeded to impose a neoliberal "shock"
programs that included steep price increases in the rates charged
by state enterprises as well as radical trade liberalization.(7)
These measures provoked a deep recession, leading to popular discontent
that in turn provoked Fujimori to suspend the constitution, close
Congress, and rule as a strongman with little respect for constitutional
restraints.
In the Philippines, the US and the multilateral agencies abandoned
Marcos. Not only was his political position untenable owing to massive
popular resistance, but his government's lack of legitimacy had
made it an ineffective instrument for repaying the massive $28 billion
foreign debt and for implementing IMF stabilization policies. An
economic crisis accompanied the end of the old regime, but that
did not stop the World Bank and the IMF from demanding that the
fledgling democratic government of President Corazon Aquino make
debt repayment its top national economic priority. People were shocked,
and some of Aquino's economic advisers protested, but the government
submitted, issuing a decree that affirmed the "automatic appropriation"
of the full amount needed to service the foreign debt from the budget
of the national government. With some 40 to 50 per cent of the budget
going to service the debt, this practically precluded national development,
since all that was left went to salaries and operational expenses,
with little left over for capital expenditures. In some years, 10
per cent of the country's GDP was spent servicing its foreign debt.
Thus, it is hardly surprising then that the Philippines registered
average growth of below 1.5 per cent per annum between 1983 and
1993.
It is ironic that today former President Aquino marches against
President Arroyo when she herself was responsible for many economic
policies, notably the model debtor policy, that Arroyo inherited.
As in Peru, Argentina, and the Philippines, the return of democracy
to Brazil was accompanied by scarcely veiled warnings from the IMF
and the US that the first order of business for the new regime was
to accomplish what the exiting military regime had failed to do,
that is, to impose stabilization programs raising interest rates,
cutting back government expenditures, devaluing the currency, and
liberalizing trade. From the mid-eighties to the 2002, a series
of governments eroded the credibility of democracy by undertaking
unsuccessful efforts to impose on a recalcitrant population the
economic stabilization desired by Washington and the IMF.(8)
The latest victim is the government of "Lula" or Luis
Inacio da Silva of the Brazilian Workers' Party, one of the most
committed anti-neoliberal parties on the continent. Before he even
won the presidential elections in the fall of 2002, Lula did the
unprecedented in Latin America: he promised the IMF that he would
honour the high-interest, expenditure-restrictive conditions of
a stabilization loan negotiated with the outgoing President Fernando
Henrique Cardoso. Lula acted under duress. The Fund made it clear
it would not release the remaining $24 billion of the stabilization
loan unless he behaved.
Lula was true to his word. Consequently, in 2003 Brazilian GDP
contracted by 0.2 per cent in Lula's first year; unemployment surged
to a record 13 per cent. This bitter medicine for the Brazilian
people was, however, a tonic for foreign investors.. In the first
eight months of the year, even though the economy remained depressed,
Brazilian stocks soared by over 58 per cent, prompting Business
Week to advise speculative investors: "Don't leave this party
yet."(9) As for Lula, he faced mounting criticism from within
his own Workers' Party and governing coalition as well as from ordinary
voters; only 28 per cent of the population voicing support for his
government. (10) In other words, even before the current crisis
stemming from corruption among Lula's closest advisers, the government
was already in trouble owing to its adoption of contractionary policies.
Reversal of the third wave of democratization now looms as a threat
throughout Latin America, where a poll conducted by the United Nations
Development Program in 2004 that showed that 54.7 per cent of Latin
Americans polled said they would support authoritarian regimes over
democracy if the shift would resolve their economic woes. (11)
In South Asia reversal of the third wave is already a reality.
When Gen. Pervez Musharraf seized power in Pakistan in October 1999,
and sent the Prime Minister Nawaz Sharaf packing, he ended eleven
years of unstable democracy. So worrisome to many orthodox students
of democracy was Pakistan's democratic breakdown that analyst Larry
Diamond wrote: "Pakistan [may] not be the the last high-profile
country to suffer a breakdown of democracy. Indeed, if there is
a 'third reverse wave,' its origin may well be dated to 12 October
1999
.(12)
Post-mortems of Pakistan's parliamentary democracy tend to focus
on corruption, collapse of the rule of law, ethnic and religious
polarization, and economic failure. Other explanations center on
an unaccountable military that had enjoyed special relations with
the Pentagon owing to its key role in driving the Russians out of
Afghanistan.
Certainly, all this played a part. But also crucial was the role
played by the IMF and World Bank, which pushed the democratic regimes
of both Benazir Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif to impose stabilization
and structural adjustment programs that contributed significantly
to the rise of poverty and inequality as well as fall in the growth
rate. (13) Noted one eminent Pakistani economist: "The almost
obsessive concern with short-term macroeconomic stabilization has
with it the danger
that some of our basic social programs might
be affected, and this would have inter-generational consequences
on development in Pakistan." (14) Since democracy became associated
with a rise in poverty and economic stagnation, it is not surprising
that the coup was viewed with relief by most Pakistanis, from both
the middle classes and the working masses.
The Challenge
In a recent essay, the philosopher Richard Rorty sketches a bleak
dystopian portrait of where Western democracy is headed:
"At the end of this process of erosion, democracy would have
been replaced by something quite different. This would probably
be neither military dictatorship nor Orwellian totalitarianism,
but rather a relatively benevolent despotism, imposed by what would
gradually become a hereditary nomenklatura.
"That sort of power structure survived the end of the Soviet
Union and is now resolidifying under Putin and his fellow KGB alumni.
The same structure seems to be taking shape in China and in Southeast
Asia. In countries run in this way, public opinion does not greatly
matter. Elections may still be held, but opposition parties are
now allowed to pose any serious threat to the powers that be. Careers
are less open to talent, and more dependent on connections with
powerful persons. Since the courts and police review boards are
relatively powerless, it is often necessary for shopkeepers to pay
protection money to the police, or to criminals tolerated by the
police, in order to stay in business. It is dangerous for citizens
to complain about corruption about the abuse of power by public
officials. High culture is restricted to areas that are irrelevant
to politics
No more uncensored media. No more student demonstrations.
Not much in the way of civil society. In short, a return to the
Ancien Regime, with the national security establishment of each
country playing the role of court in Versailles." (15)
This dark vision may not yet be applicable to western democracies,
though some of my friends claim it is a perfect portrayal of Washington
under the Bush regime. It is, however, a credible end point if the
forces that are eviscerating democracy are not subdued.
This is not an unfamiliar vision. At the turn of the 20th century,
Max Weber referred to the "iron cage" of bureaucratization
and Robert Michels called attention to the "iron law of oligarchy."
Today, the "iron cage" is being forged by a number of
forces: bureaucratic centralization that has run out of control,
the drive of a national security establishment playing on terrorist
fears, corporate concentration and control of production and markets.
In the case of the third world, one must add to this brew the draconian
policies of powerful multilateral institutions and the systematic
subversion of democratic mechanisms by local elites to gain a comprehensive
picture of the threats that are strangling democracy globally.
To respond to these threats we very badly need first of all a reconceptualization
or fundamental revisioning of democracy at various levels. Too long
have we identified democracy with elections, so that once we had
trooped to the polls and elected the people and party of our choice,
we considered our democratic responsibilities fulfilled. Today,
more than ever, today, Rousseau's warning about representative systems
being corrupted so that they generate the corporate will of the
representatives rather than the general will of the represented
remains very relevant. Today more than ever, Michels' warning about
elections becoming less a question of the people freely choosing
their representatives than their so-called representatives using
elections to maintain themselves in office rings true. Moving on
boldly to innovate more direct and participatory methods of democratic
governance is one of the key challenges facing all of us, and here
the anti-globalization movement with its emphasis of direct democratic
methods of decision-making can be of great assistance to us.
Then there is the challenge of how to restore equality as one of
the key dimensions of democracy. We can no longer pretend that a
functioning democracy can be sustained when there is a formal equality
of citizens but there are very real and large inequalities of wealth
among them. We have seen both in the United States and in the developing
world the systematic perversion of democracy at every turn by money
and wealth.
Campaign finance reform is only a first step in reversing this
trend. In my view, strengthening democracy is inseparable from achieving
a more equitable distribution of assets and income--meaning reversing
the spontaneous drive of the market to create and perpetuate inequalities.
The disembedding of the market from society, to borrow an image
from the great Hungarian scholar Karl Polanyi, in the name of efficiency
and prosperity has been the greatest creator of inequality, the
greatest subverter of democratic legitimacy in the last quarter
of a century. We have relearned the hard way what we have been taught
by the classic theorists of democracy-that you cannot divorce equality
from democracy. We have learned the hard way that, contrary to Milton
Friedman's classic dictum, market freedom translates to more freedom
for corporations and more unfreedom for citizens. We must understand
that the modus vivendi between democracy and capitalism called Lockean
democracy has long been dysfunctional, and that to survive, contemporary
democracy must break out of the rigid Lockean shell that now imprisons
it.
We must, above all, face the fact that capitalism and democratic
deepening are no longer compatible, and that the challenge lies
in the nature and degree of the restraints that we put on the market
while we restructure the system of production and consumption around
the satisfaction of the needs of people and the community rather
than profitability. Call this participatory economics, social democracy,
people's economics, or socialism-what is essential is that the market
be drastically re-embedded in society, subject to the primordial
human values of community, justice, equality, and solidarity.
Then, finally, there is the challenge of reining in the big bureaucracies
which have come to view themselves as above democratic politics.
There are the corporate elites that say that achieving efficiency
in production and distribution can only be achieved through hierarchical
control--that democracy has to do strictly with political representation
but stops at the realm of production; the technocratic elites that
say that management of the modern state and economy is too complex
for ordinary citizens and must be left to the experts; the national
security elites that say that the exigencies of providing national
security and carrying out contemporary warfare involving split-second
decisions necessitate a limitation of the classical freedoms of
an earlier era and insulation of the national security establishment
from what they disdainfully regard as the "vagaries" of
civilian democratic politics. What is insidious about the behaviour
of these elites is that even as they quietly maintain that a technocratic
centralization is the imperative of modern societies and that democratic
practice must adjust this fact of life, they opportunistically use
the slogan of limiting and reducing government to hide their technocratic
agenda. I am of course speaking about the most influential sectors
of the Republican Party of the US, who cleverly use the Christian
Right and the Cato Institute small government types as canon fodder
to advance their program of conservative centralization.
Let me end by saying that with democracy facing a crisis globally,
we cannot approach the problem as if it were simply one of tinkering
with processes that are essentially sound and simply need sorting
out. We are being faced with the classical questions of democratic
theory, the fundamental questions, to which we must frame ideas
and institutional solutions appropriate for the times. We must grasp
and face with courage the full dimensions of the threat posed to
democracy, for it is our ability to confront them that will provide
the answer to the question of whether the global democratic revolution
will deepen or it will become a thing of the past, leaving future
historians, as Rorty puts it, with the puzzle why the golden age
of democracy, like the age of the Antonines, lasted only about two
hundred years.
Notes
1. Richard Rorty, "Post Democracy," London Review of
Books, Vol. 26, No. 7 (April 1, 2004), p. 10.
2. William Pfaff, "The Pentagon, not Congress or the President,
Calls the Shots," International Herald Tribune, August 6, 2001.
3. Elaine Scarry, "Resolving to Resist," Boston Review,
Vol. 29, No. 1 (Feb-Mar 2004), p. 12.
4. See Walden Bello, "Parallel Crises: Dysfunctional Democracy
in Washington and Manila," in Back to the Future, edited by
Corazon Villareal (Manila: American Studies Association of the Philippines,
2003), pp. 80-91.
5. Stephen Haggard and Robert Kaufman, The Political Economy of
Democratic Transitions (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1995),
pp. 59-60.
6. Ibid., p. 192.
7. Evelyn Huber and John Stephens, "The Bourgeoisie and Democracy:
Historical and Contemporary Perspectives from Europe and Latin America,"
Paper delivered at the meeting of the Latin American Studies Association,
Continental Plaza Hotel, Guadalajara, Mexico, April 17-19, 1997,
p. 8.
8. See, among others, Maria Rocha Geisa. "Neo-Dependency in
Brazil," New Left Review, No. 16 (Second Series), July-August
2002, pp. 5-33; also Haggard and Kaufman, pp. 193-196, 209-211.
9. "Don't Leave this Party yet," Business Week, Sept.
8, 2003, p. 63.
10. Is Lula's Honeymoon Winding Down?," Business Week, April
26, 2004, p. 31. See also Roger Burbach, "Brazilian Fiscal
Conservatives in Lula's Government under Attack along with International
Monetary Fund," Center for the Study of the Americas (CENSA),
Berkeley, Ca., March 22, 2004.
11. Geri Smith, "Democracy on the Ropes," Business Week,
May 19, 2004.
12. Larry Diamond, "Is Pakistan the (Reverse) Wave of the Future?,"
in Larry Diamond and Marc Plattner, The Global Divergence of Democracies
(Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 2001), p. 358.
13. A.R. Kemal, "Structural Adjustment, Macroeconomic Policies,
and Poverty Trends in Pakistan," Paper delivered at the Asia
and Pacific forum on Poverty: Reforming Policies and Institutions
for Poverty Reduction," Asian Development Bank, Manila, Feb.
5-9, 2001.
14. Keane Shore, "The Impact of Structural Adjustment Programs
on Pakistan's Social Development," IDRC Reports, June 7, 1999.
15.Rorty.
Walden Bello is Director of Focus on the Global South. This speech
was delivered at Dalhousie University, St. Francis Xavier University,
and York University, Canada, in October 2005. It was first published
with footnotes here
see also
http://www.spectrezine.org/global/Bello.htm