April 15, 2008 20:30 |
by Christa Wichterich
"The Indian middle class is hungry for exciting food and
drink experiences" - at least according to Mariann Fischer
Boel, the EU Commissioner for Agriculture. When it is signed and
sealed by the end of 2008, the free trade agreement between the
EU and India is supposed to help quench this appetite. The EU wants
to export wine, whisky, olive oil and 40 types of fish, among other
things, to India when the customs barriers fall. Yet to whom such
treaties are really helpful, Christa Wichterich asks.
Since the WTO Doha development round has reached a dead end, the
EU wants to accelerate the advance of European corporations against
its US competitors in the world market with the help of bilateral
free trade agreements (FTAs). The powerful business lobby in Brussels
is pushing for new treaties that include even those "WTO-plus"
areas where countries of the South have steadfastly refused to budge:
services, investment protection, intellectual property rights and
public procurement. India with growth rates of more than 9%, a huge
consumer market and still high tariffs and trade barriers, is one
of the EU's top objects of desire as far as market access is concerned.
Emerging world power...
India considers herself as an "emerging world power"
and wants to follow the Chinese model, focusing on export orientation
to become a global hub for manufacturing, trading and services and
to attract investors and create millions of jobs with 500 special
economic zones. Trade minister Kamal Nath calls the pact with the
EU the most comprehensive of the 27 treaties India is currently
negotiating and is also interested in a WTO-plus agenda to generate
an additional boom in the Indian economy.
The High-level Trade Group that prepared the negotiations in 2006
identified nine sectors of "reciprocal interest" beginning
with elimination of 90% of the tariffs applied to 5000 product lines,
a comprehensive liberalisation of services (all 4 GATS modes), national
treatment of foreign enterprises and repeal of the controls for
financial capital. The transition period until full implementation
is set at a brief seven years.
... but still an unequal partner
Whereas official rhetoric celebrates this commercial camaraderie
among "natural partners" and "allies at the world
stage", these are really two extremely unequal partners. India's
GDP is only about 7% of the EU's. Still some 80% of India's population
have to survive on less than two dollars a day. The UN's Human Development
Index shows India at rank 128. For decades the EU has financially
supported India through development programmes from education to
infrastructure with combating poverty as its highest objective.
Now trade is supposed to continue to fuel Indian growth and thereby
reduce poverty. The most recent EU development programme for India,
the Country Strategy Paper 2007-13 sees India nearly as an emerging
economy and is mainly focused on economic cooperation.
Two impact studies show that the gains from free trade will by
no means equally shared: India has to open its borders more since
its tariffs are higher than in the EU and will have to absorb the
corresponding reductions in state revenues. The EU will increase
its exports to India by 57%. The best India can hope for is a 19%
increase, primarily in textiles.
Controversial issues
After the first three negotiating rounds several crucial issues
have emerged: The EU insists on the principle of reciprocity while
India demands concessions: the EU should further reduce its import
tariffs and lower the safety standards (SPS) for Indian agricultural
exports. The EU doesn't want to negotiate a "blue card"
which would allow India to export IT specialists to Europe and India
flatly refuses to discuss public procurement and is extremely hesitant
with patent rights.
The EU's intention, in contrast to WTO agreements, to integrate
"sustainable development", environmental and labour standards
in all bilateral trade agreements triggered an open controversy.
The negotiating mandate for the EU commission not only includes
the directive to find "new ways of addressing non-tariff barriers"
but also emphasises eradication of poverty, full employment, ILO
core labourstandards, and "decent work".
True, the High-level Trade Group views favourably that both India
and the EU follow a "model of growth with equity, which is
socially inclusive" and aims at fair distribution. Yet India
accuses the EU of insisting on social and environmental clauses
for purely protectionist purposes and refuses to include standards
in the agreement. Trade minister Nath seems to consider labour laws
as an impediment to competition: recently he intervened in various
EU trade ministries to prevent activists of the Clean Clothes Campaign
from publishing labour law violations by an Indian jeans manufacturer
in the internet since this would damage India's export industry.
Conflicting with poverty eradication
In India itself the voices of those who fear that corporate liberalisation
is at the expense of the small and weak market participants are
getting louder. Currently Indian small merchants and middlemen,
who previously dominated retail business in the country side, are
protesting against wholesalers, hypermarkets and supermarkets such
as the German retail group Metro. Their advance means that entire
domestic value-added chains and marketing channels will be out-leveraged
and local producers and petty merchants will be marginalised and
driven off the market.
These displacement effects will create new poverty. Trade liberalisation
thus stands in open contradiction to EU-supported poverty eradication
projects which aimed to integrate the poor, women and members of
lower castes into the market by providing micro-credits and promoting
self-reliant initiatives so that they could secure their livelihood
as self-employed or small businesses in the informal sector.
Whereas business federationsfrom the EU and India advocate increasing
"deep" liberalisation, fishermen and fishmongers in South
Indian Kerala fear for their existence and the survival of traditional
small-scale fishing, given the EU's fish export plans. They demand
that fish be placed on the "sensitive" list of those 10%
out of 5000 products that are exempt from the 90% tariff reductions.
Behind closed doors
Protests are intensifying - against market opening, against the
expropriation of resources belonging to farmers and fishermen in
order to create special economic zones for investors and against
an industrialisation that continues to weaken agriculture. A leading
Gandhian social activist, Smitu Khotari, accused European investors
of predatory behaviour profiteering from resources and labour in
India. Many development NGOs fear that further liberalisation of
agriculture, the financial sector, intellectual property rights
in particular in the seed and pharmaceutical sector as well as exploitation
of minerals will undermine the objectives of poverty elimination,
food security and social balance. Critical voices ask whether EU
demands for trade liberalisation of environmental goods and services
also include opening and privatisation of water supply. The Centre
for Education and Communication in New Delhi, primarily representing
farmers' and workers' rights, put it this way: "If the agreement
sets to benefit people does it have to be kept secret"?
Paradoxically indeed all the negotiations between the "two
largest democracies in the world" are conducted behind closed
doors. Whereas the private sector is granted plenty of room for
lobbying almost no information seeps through to the Indian and EU
public. Civil society organisations in India, representatives of
the informal sector, farmers' union or women's networks receive
no information at all about the negotiations and have no opportunity
to advocate their interests. The EU's Directorate-General for Trade
is planning to invite NGOs for one single discussion when the Sustainability
Impact Assessment (SIA) commissioned is to be presented. Obviously,
to date these negotiations lack any democratic legitimacy by parliaments
and civil society.
Christa Wichterich, PhD, is a social scientist, freelance journalist
and consultant in development cooperation. She is a member of the
editorial board of WDEV and active in women's networks. WDEV publishes
World Economy &
Development In Brief, where this article first appeared, 10
February 2008.