Michael Hindley looks at EU enlargement
With the Irish yes in the referendum to approve
the Treaty of Nice, the way, theoretically is now clear for
the European Union (EU) to undertake a considerable move eastwards,
incorporation states which when the EU was founded in 1956 were
defined as the enemy. The change around since the
fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 has been quite staggering, and
has seen the assumptions, which underpinned the Yalta Agreement,
which carved up Europe, turned on their head.
I well remember the feelings of 1989/1990 and the euphoria
in the streets of Eastern Europe which was not matched in the
council chambers of Western Europe. The EU had expanded cautiously
and pragmatically and in bite size chunks, six, to nine, to
ten, to twelve, but after 1989 the whole of geographical Europe
was up for membership. The most alarmed nation was, and remains,
France. With each enlargement France feels its powers slip and
the actuality of the eastwards expansion of German influence
frightens the French political elite, who have always skilfully
manoeuvred inside the EU to keep a check on German power.
The EUs aid packages for Eastern Europe were quite ruthless
in their intent and execution. They were simply to dismantle
the economically unsuccessful Soviet command economy and simultaneously
pave the way for western European capital to take over. Any
talk of a genuine Third Way, that is rescuing certain
social economic features in the East, for example the widespread
cooperative movements, was rudely brushed aside by a triumphalist
West.
Nor was local capital to be fostered; the purpose was to use
Western European taxpayers money to open up the East. In the
early 1990s, Warsaw, Budapest and Prague, were swept up in a
Klondike fever as thousands of Euro-yuppies invaded with offers
of feasibility studies. Consultancy firms in the West fattened
on the pickings. I remember talks in Polish marine engineering
yards trying to get money for worker/management buy-outs
but no deal on offer, however cash galore for feasibility studies
to privatise the local water industry. Eastern Europe experienced
carpetbaggers for the first time in decades.
In many ways the existing EU members have already got what
they want open access for their producers to new markets,
access to cheaper skilled labour and on the strategic level,
key states like Poland have been drawn into the defence of the
West through NATO membership.
And this is precisely why there is now considerable foot-dragging,
particularly by current net beneficiaries of the agricultural
subsidies (the CAP). Also western capitals reluctant to take
on their own domestic xenophobes are worried about the promise
of labour mobility. Indeed considerable opt out clauses have
been imposed on the would be entrants. Though the entrants will
have to absorb some 80,000 pages of existing law, many of which
to foster the workings of the free market, the existing members
have been careful not to extend too many concessions. For example,
though populous Poland will have to wait a full seven years
for free movement of labour. It has been calculated there are
as many peasant farmers in Poland alone as in the rest of the
EU, but for the first couple of years Poland will pay more into
the CAP kitty than it takes out. Or in other words, CAP subsidies
will wait until exposure to market forces has decimated Polish
farms to more manageable proportions.
For the ruling elites in the East, entry into the EU will be
a kind of retroactive vindication for the pain they have imposed
through privatisation on their own people. They have sugared
the bitter medicine of privatisation with the promise that the
patient will then be well enough to enjoy the pleasures of membership.
Unfortunately as here, much opposition to entry comes with
uncomfortable xenophobic noises. Having suffered oppression
by a Stalinist Russian Empire, many feel they have had little
opportunity exercise independence before being thrust under
an altogether milder tutelage from Brussels.
That said, I think it is most likely that all the applicants
will vote to join in their eventual accession referendums. However,
when they are in, they will find they have little influence
at all. Indeed amidst all the enthusiasm about enlargement in
geographical terms, a concentration of powers in the hands of
existing larger member states has been finessed through.
France, Germany, Spain, Britain and Italy will actually get
more powers in the opaque Council of Ministers which is increasingly the driving force in the EU.
Moreover the national veto will be abolished in a further 39
areas of policy making.
The peoples of Eastern Europe will soon find that the price
of entrance to the club is sitting at the back and saying nothing
and taking what you are given.
Michael Hindley
is a former Euro-MP and a Lancashire County Councillor. This
article first appeared in Labour Left Briefing, December 2002.